An Analysis of Trade Potential between China and ASEAN within China-ASEAN FTA

نویسندگان

  • Tang Yihong Wang
  • Anthony J. Venables
  • Benjamin A. Roberts
چکیده

This paper applies Export Similarity Index to examine China’s export potential to ASEAN market by comparing China with six main ASEAN member countries (ASEAN 6) and the other main trade partners of ASEAN. It shows that competition is severe on industrial level in ASEAN market, and the bilateral trade potential is uncertain. While accounting for the factors of size, distance and integration etc., China-ASEAN FTA had a significant positive effect on bilateral trade volume. We extend the gravity model to panel data and test it.

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تاریخ انتشار 2000